2027 ICHRA Market Intelligence • Individual vs. small group • Final approvals checked October 15, 2026
Colorado 2027: Summit & Pitkin County research

Approved regional rates, community purchasing and practical employer analysis.

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The ICHRA Shop™ 2027 Market Intelligence

Know the market.
See what survives the fees.

A rate increase alone does not reveal ICHRA opportunity. Compare individual and small-group trend, then test whether administration, broker and implementation costs consume the advantage.

National snapshot

Geography creates opportunity. Employer economics decide it.

The map combines nationwide filing intelligence with proprietary Market Scores only where The ICHRA Shop has completed its state review.

51markets monitored

All 50 states plus the District of Columbia.

32completed Market Scores

Scored reports follow the completed-review hierarchy; unscored states remain gray.

6weighted score dimensions

Rates, carriers, off-exchange depth, affordability, employer environment and momentum.

1fee-adjusted decision model

Test administration, broker compensation and implementation costs.

SOURCE-CHECKED OCTOBER 15, 2026 · PLAN YEAR 2027

Final approvals: the latest verified rate changes.

Eleven markets checked against regulator or official exchange releases. Ten have verified individual and small-group averages; Washington has an Exchange individual-market approval only. These are approved gross premium trends, not employee quotes or proof that a particular 2027 plan is available through an API.

MarketFinal individualFinal small groupAnnouncementOfficial source & scope
Colorado+10%+14%2026-09-22Colorado Division of Insurance ↗Individual and small-group statewide averages
Connecticut+11.3%+15.1%2026-09-11Connecticut Insurance Department ↗Fully insured individual and small group, on and off Exchange
District of Columbia+9.9%+11.5%2026-09-18DC DISB ↗DC Health Link individual and small-business plans
Illinois+14.1%+17.6%2026-10-13Illinois Department of Insurance ↗Individual and small-group ACA final filings
Maine+14.8%+13.5%2026-08-14Maine Bureau of Insurance ↗Individual and small-employer markets
Maryland+14.6%+10.2%2026-09-25Maryland Insurance Administration ↗Unsubsidized individual ACA and small-group averages
New York+6%+8%2026-09-04New York Department of Financial Services ↗Individual and small-group approved market averages
Oregon+21.6%+15.5%2026-08-18Oregon Division of Financial Regulation ↗Individual and small-group final rate orders
Pennsylvania+15.97%+10.28%2026-09-18Pennsylvania Insurance Department ↗Enrollment-weighted individual and small-group averages
Rhode Island+12.4%+3.8%2026-09-29Rhode Island OHIC ↗Enrollment-weighted individual and small-group averages
Washington+22.2%Not verified2026-09-09Washington Health Benefit Exchange / OIC ↗Exchange individual-market approval; not an off-Exchange statewide average

Still awaiting verification here: California’s 9.9% announcement remains preliminary in the reviewed Covered California announcement. Florida OIR lists 2027 report headings, but the reviewed page does not provide linked final tables. Neither is promoted to final in this update. Other states retain their earlier status unless separately marked.

Use the right comparison: Statewide trends have different enrollment weights and scopes. A lower IND trend does not establish a lower IND premium. Existing Market Scores are retained from prior reviews and have not been rescored for this rate refresh. Check carrier, ZIP, age, network, plan design and off-Exchange availability before making an employer recommendation.

2027 State Opportunity Map™

Explore all 51 markets—then model the employer renewal.

Go beyond proposed-rate headlines. Compare individual and small-group trends, completed Market Scores, carrier context, regulatory status and the fees that decide whether an ICHRA / CHOICE Arrangement opportunity survives.

Turn market insight into an employer decision.

See how we compare funding options, employer contributions and employee impact in a sample proposal. Brokers can also access our resources and ongoing guidance with The ICHRA Shop Broker Membership for $199 per month.

Ready for your own comparison? Request an employer-specific analysis.

Data discipline: Completed ICHRA Shop state reports control the Market Score™ and state commentary. Filing figures remain preliminary unless marked final. Statewide averages are screening signals—not employer quotes.

2027 age-rated market library

Move from state trend to employee-level pricing.

JANET can now explain published 2027 Gold rates by age for Washington, DC and Maryland. Employers still need a census and home ZIP codes for a final market comparison.

DC

DC Health Link Gold

Approved CareFirst and Kaiser Gold low/high carrier-product endpoints for ages 21–64 using the official DC age curve.

Ask JANET about DC rates
MD

Maryland Gold samples

Approved Baltimore lowest-Gold samples for CareFirst, Kaiser and UnitedHealthcare, age-rated from 21–64 using the federal ACA curve.

Ask JANET about Maryland rates
ZIP

Final employer comparison

Use employee ages, home ZIP codes, household coverage and the current renewal to compare actual available plans and employer contributions.

Compare an employer renewal
LIVE

Licensed quote review

Published intelligence screens the opportunity. A licensed quote confirms availability, network, benefits and the final premium.

Start the census review
Additional final 2027 markets available through JANET

Washington: 22.2% average approved individual-market increase. Oregon: 21.6% individual and 15.5% small-group average approved increases. These final statewide averages show market direction; they are not age-, ZIP- or plan-specific premiums.

DC · age-ratedMaryland · age-ratedWashington · final trendOregon · final trend

How we read 2027 filings

A headline rate request is not the market.

Our review follows the filing as it develops, distinguishes proposed from approved changes and tests what the statewide result means for an actual employer population.

01

Weight by enrollment

A carrier with substantial effectuated enrollment should influence the statewide picture more than a small entrant with little current membership.

02

Track every revision

Initial requests can change during regulatory review. We identify proposed, revised and final figures instead of freezing the first number published.

03

Read the drivers

Utilization, morbidity, prescription costs, carrier entry or exit, policy changes and market composition help explain why premiums are moving.

04

Test the employer economics

Individual-versus-small-group trend is only the opening signal. Age, ZIP, contribution design and total administration cost determine whether the opportunity survives.

Our working standard

Review public carrier filings and rate-review materials, validate enrollment context where available, preserve the filing status and effective date, then compare the result with small-group trend and fee-adjusted employer economics. Statewide averages are directional intelligence—not a quote or guarantee.

Proposed ≠ finalEnrollment weightedCarrier contextFee adjusted

Choose the depth

Start with market intelligence. Add employer risk when the decision demands it.

$500Market Intelligence Report

One market, filing sources, IND vs. SG comparison, carrier landscape, Market Score and fee-adjusted opportunity.

Order a market report
Starting at $5,000 · scales with livesPredictive Risk Intelligence

Add aggregate, de-identified claims and Rx intelligence to compare ICHRA, group, level-funded, self-funded or class strategies.

Explore predictive risk

Turn market insight into an employer decision.

See how we compare funding options, employer contributions and employee impact in a sample proposal. Brokers can also access our resources and ongoing guidance with The ICHRA Shop Broker Membership for $199 per month.

Ready for your own comparison? Request an employer-specific analysis.